Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (21/31) | 56% (19/34) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 31% (8/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 33% (3/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 32% (10/31) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 56% (14/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (3/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 73% (11/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 45% (27/60) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 43% (24/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (65/116) | 44% (51/116) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
59.6% | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.77) |
|
2.46 ↑
(2.08) |
2.4%
(4.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 20.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Daniil Medvedev has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won against Daniil Medvedev?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina were as follows:
08.08.2024
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1:2
29.02.2024
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2:0
15.03.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2:0
14.02.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2:1
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (Q) | Zhang Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Khachanov K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Bu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Goffin D. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shang J. (WC) | Cazaux A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Mensik J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (6) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tien L. | Cerundolo F. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Mannarino A. (Q) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Musetti L. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (8) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sonego L. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. | Mensik J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Musetti L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (8) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Minaur A. (3) | Mensik J. (RET.) (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Musetti L. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Minaur A. (3) | |
| 2 | Tien L. | TBD #4 | |
Final
