Result
 
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                        19/01/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 89',  🟥, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Mortágua  44.7% | Draw  30.9% | Arronches Benfica  24.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Mortágua - Arronches Benfica Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.03 ↓ (2.75) | 
			   2.94 ↑ (2.82) | 
			   3.73 ↑ (2.59) | 
			   10.1% (10.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against Arronches Benfica?
                    
                    
                        
                            Mortágua has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Arronches Benfica won against Mortágua?
                    
                    
                        
                             Arronches Benfica has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Arronches Benfica were as follows:
                                                        
                                25.08.2024 
                                Arronches Benfica 
                                - 
                                Mortágua 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.02.2023 
                                Mortágua 
                                - 
                                Arronches Benfica 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mortágua                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Arronches Benfica                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 19 | 
| 2 | Naval 1893 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 | 
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 | 
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 | 
| 5 | Mortagua | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 | 
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 | 
| 7 | Fatima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 | 
| 8 | Marinhense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 | 
| 9 | Peniche | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 | 
| 10 | Lajense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 | 
| 11 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 | 
| 12 | SC Lusitania | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 | 
| 13 | Samora Correia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 6 | 
| 14 | Electrico | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 5 | 
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