Result
1:2
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Gustavo Tonoli ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Dandan ⚽,
- 16', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 17', Dandan (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', Rossales 🟨,
- 36', Abuda 🟨,
- 38', Foguete 🟨,
- 38', Pepeu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pepeu ↓, Chico ↑,
- 46', Marcudinho ↓, Marco Damasceno ↑,
- 60', (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Jonata 🟨,
- 74', Patrick ↓, Bruno Paixao ↑,
- 75', Jonata ↓, Cezini ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Gualberto ⚽,
- 79', Gean Miller ↓, Fabio Magrao ↑,
- 83', Bruno Paixao 🟨,
- 83', Ruan Lopes ↓, Marcus Diniz ↑,
- 85', Carlos Vitor ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 85', Abuda ↓, Caio Ferraz ↑,
- 86', Vini ↓, Geisandro ↑,
- 90+1', Gustavo Tonoli ↓, Kaiky ↑,
Chances of winning
Serra
38.5% | Draw
31.2% | Vitória ES
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Serra - Vitória ES Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.43) |
2.92 ↓
(3.15) |
3.01 ↑
(2.69) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Serra is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Vitória ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 0.
- In recent matches, Serra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vitória ES is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Serra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Serra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Vitória ES?
Serra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória ES won against Serra?
Vitória ES has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Vitória ES were as follows:
25.05.2025
Vitória ES
-
Serra
4:0
23.01.2024
Vitória ES
-
Serra
3:1
12.02.2023
Vitória ES
-
Serra
2:2
Latest results of Vitória ES
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final
