Result
2:1
09/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (37/49) | 58% (30/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 42% (14/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/3 | 5/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 29% (14/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 50% (14/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/10 | 3/3 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (51/77) | 55% (43/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (35/78) | 34% (26/77) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (86/155) | 45% (69/155) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Jessica Pegula
77.6% | Jelena Ostapenko
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Pegula that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.33) |
|
4.22 ↑
(3.25) |
4.3%
(6%) | |
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 3 - 60%). Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 2nd Set - Ostapenko (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Set - Ostapenko (3.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Ostapenko (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Ostapenko (7.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ostapenko (votes: 6 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 26.
- Pegula has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ostapenko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pegula is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Jessica Pegula?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
04.10.2023
Jessica Pegula
-
Jelena Ostapenko
0:2
15.02.2023
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Jessica Pegula
1:2
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sakatsume H. (Q) | Parks A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cristian J. | Tjen J. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Joint M. (29) | |
| 5 | Jovic I. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Stephens S. (WC) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Osaka N. (16) | |
| 9 | Mboko V. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Birrell K. | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sonmez Z. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (23) | |
| 13 | Raducanu E. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Seidel E. | Zakharova A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Galfi D. (LL) | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Anisimova A. (6) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Andreescu B. (WC) | Rakhimova K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Yastremska D. | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Eala A. (31) | |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Maria T. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Noskova L. (14) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Gibson T. (Q) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Putintseva Y. | Badosa P. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (17) | |
| 29 | Wang Xin. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Tomljanovic A. | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Potapova A. | Stakusic M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Vekic D. (WC) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Volynets K. (WC) | Sramkova R. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (26) | |
| 37 | Mertens E. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bucsa C. | Vidmanova D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Hunter S. (Q) | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Bencic B. (12) | |
| 41 | Keys M. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Parry D. (Q) | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Tararudee L. (Q) | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Navarro E. (20) | |
| 45 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Bouzkova M. | Townsend T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Arango E. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Rybakina E. (3) | |
| 49 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Stearns P. | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Siniakova K. | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Fernandez L. (27) | |
| 53 | Samsonova L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Linette M. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Siegemund L. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Svitolina E. (9) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Jacquemot E. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Ruzic A. | Brady J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Zheng Q. (24) | |
| 61 | Sakkari M. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gracheva V. | Tagger L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Jones F. | Day K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sakatsume H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cristian J. | Joint M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Jovic I. (18) | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Osaka N. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mboko V. (10) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sonmez Z. | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Raducanu E. (25) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blinkova A. | Anisimova A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Yastremska D. | Eala A. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (21) | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Gibson T. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Putintseva Y. | Tauson C. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (30) | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Volynets K. | Ostapenko J. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Mertens E. (22) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Hunter S. | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Keys M. (15) | Parry D. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Kartal S. | Navarro E. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Baptiste H. | Rybakina E. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (8) | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Siniakova K. | Fernandez L. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Samsonova L. (19) | Krueger A. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Siegemund L. | Svitolina E. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (13) | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Ruzic A. | Zheng Q. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. (32) | Tagger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Day K. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mboko V. (10) | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Raducanu E. (25) | Anisimova A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (RET.) (4) | Eala A. (31) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Noskova L. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gibson T. | Tauson C. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Tomljanovic A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Ostapenko J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Mertens E. (22) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Keys M. (15) | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (8) | Siniakova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Krueger A. | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (13) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. (32) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mboko V. (10) | Anisimova A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Eala A. (31) | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gibson T. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (5) | Bencic B. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kartal S. (RET.) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Siniakova K. (RET.) | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. (14) | Gibson T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (5) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (9) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Noskova L. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (3) | Svitolina E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (3) | 2 : 1 |
