Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 88% (23/26) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 76% (13/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 36% (16/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 60% (12/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 75% (3/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 100% (2/2) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 84% (36/43) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 16% (7/43) | 44% (28/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (43/107) | 60% (64/107) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Felix Aliassime-Auger
45.7% | Daniil Medvedev
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.11) |
|
1.76 ↑
(1.74) |
4.9%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev?
Users Predictions:
Daniil Medvedev will win
(34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Daniil Medvedev?
Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?
Daniil Medvedev has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
20.02.2025
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev D. retired
31.07.2024
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
20.01.2024
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:3
24.02.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Felix Aliassime-Auger
2:0
17.02.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Felix Aliassime-Auger
2:0
Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Zhang Z. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Echargui M. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nardi L. (LL) | Lehecka J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Shang J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Hassan B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Shevchenko A. (LL) | Khachanov K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (5) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Humbert U. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Halys Q. (Q) | Draper J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Mensik J. (6) | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Q) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. (LL) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (3) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brooksby J. | Khachanov K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (5) | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Draper J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Mensik J. (6) | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. | Bublik A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Lehecka J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Medvedev D. (3) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (5) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mensik J. (6) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Medvedev D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (3) | Griekspoor T. | |
