Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	0.74
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
74% (222/298)	71% (185/261)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.67	0.76
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
17	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
74% (222/298)	71% (185/261)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
54% (32/59)	49% (34/70)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.54
Throw-ins
19	16
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
20% (1/5)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
35	38
Clearances
22	12
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.76	1.67
Goals prevented
-0.24	-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', Nieto J. 🟨,
42', Quintero Y. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
64', Torres M. 🟨,
68', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', Nieto J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
70', Estupinan A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
70', Aponza J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
76', Gonzalez M. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
80', Torres M. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
81', Martinez J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
81', Quintero Y. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
83', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
84', Hurtado A. 🟨,
90+1', Luis Orejuela ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
90+5', Montoya J. 🟨,
90+8', Perez K. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yr25ckhy

Chances of winning

Deportes Tolima
49.3%

Draw
27.3%

Deportivo Cali
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.1%

17%

Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	4.19 ↓ (5.21)	6.3% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportes Tolima will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Cali?

Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Deportes Tolima?

Deportivo Cali has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali were as follows:

03.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1

07.09.2024 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 1:1

26.02.2024 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:2

29.11.2023 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 0:2

25.11.2023 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 4:2

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

20.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín 2:3 ✺

19.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

18.10.2025 Deportivo Cali - América de Cali 0:2 ✺

14.10.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali 2:1 ✺

03.10.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 0:4 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )