Pedro Martinez Portero vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	15
Double Faults
6	5
1st Serve Percentage
60%	65%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (34/56)	76% (37/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (21/38)	50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)	50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
24% (12/49)	39% (22/56)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)	45% (17/38)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)	30% (3/10)
Winners
9	38
Unforced Errors
28	48
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)	76% (16/21)
Service Points Won
59% (55/94)	66% (48/73)
Return Points Won
34% (25/73)	41% (39/94)
Total Points Won
48% (80/167)	52% (87/167)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)	77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)	23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)	50% (13/26)

Chances of winning

Pedro Martinez Portero
28.3%

Nicolas Jarry
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.38)		1.33 ↓ (1.57)	4.9% (5.7%)

What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Jarry will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 69.5% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jarry (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 68. Jarry is ranked ATP: 100.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Jarry is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Pedro Martinez Portero won against Nicolas Jarry?

Pedro Martinez Portero has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Pedro Martinez Portero?

Nicolas Jarry has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:

23.02.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:0

Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero

28.07.2025 Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Jan-Lennard Struff - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Roman Andres Burruchaga Canceled ✺

05.07.2025 Jannik Sinner - Pedro Martinez Portero 3:0 ✺

03.07.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Mariano Navone 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Nicolas Jarry

22.07.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Jarry 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Cameron Norrie 2:3 ✺

04.07.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca 3:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien 3:0 ✺

30.06.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nicolas Jarry 2:3 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Galan D. E. (Q)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
3	Baez S.	Goffin D.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Diallo G. (30)
5	Machac T. (19)	Bye
6	Thompson J.	Mannarino A. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Martinez P.	Jarry N. (WC)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Paul T. (13)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Rinderknech A.	Borges N.	2 : 0
11	Etcheverry T. M.	Shang J.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
13	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Bye
14	Smith C. (Q)	Marozsan F.	1 : 2
15	Bonzi B.	Arnaldi M.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
17	Fritz T. (4)	Bye
18	Coric B.	Nava E. (Q)	0 : 2
19	Bergs Z.	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Sonego L. (31)
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (17)	Bye
22	Fonseca J.	Bu Y.	2 : 1
23	Atmane T. (Q)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (15)
25	Tiafoe F. (10)	Bye
26	Carballes Baena R.	Gaston H.	2 : 1
27	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 2
28	Bye	Humbert U. (20)
29	Michelsen A. (28)	Bye
30	Moutet C.	McDonald M.	2 : 0
31	Safiullin R.	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rune H. (7)
33	Shelton B. (5)	Bye
34	Ugo Carabelli C.	Nishikori K.	2 : 0
35	Altmaier D.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Norrie C. (32)
37	Lehecka J. (22)	Bye
38	Boyer T. (WC)	Holt B. (WC)	2 : 0
39	Walton A.	Navone M. (LL)	2 : 1
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (12)
41	Khachanov K. (14)	Bye
42	Ofner S. (PR)	Royer V. (Q)	1 : 2
43	Brooksby J. (WC)	Muller A.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cazaux A. (LL)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Giron M.	Blockx A. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Vukic A. (LL)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Dellien H.	Opelka R.	0 : 2
51	Comesana F.	Munar J.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Darderi L. (29)
53	Popyrin A. (21)	Bye
54	Landaluce M. (Q)	Kypson P. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Tien L.	Riedi L. (Q)	2 : 0
56	Bye	Rublev A. (9)
57	Mensik J. (16)	Bye
58	Kecmanovic M.	Quinn E.	0 : 2
59	Nardi L. (LL)	Tirante T. A. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Shapovalov D. (24)
61	Griekspoor T. (26)	Bye
62	Medjedovic H.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 0
63	Bellucci M.	Dzumhur D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Galan D. E.	2 : 0
2	Baez S.	Diallo G. (30)	0 : 2
3	Machac T. (19)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
4	Martinez P.	Paul T. (13)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Etcheverry T. M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	0 : 2
7	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Marozsan F.	2 : 0
8	Bonzi B.	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 1
9	Fritz T. (4)	Nava E.	2 : 0
10	Bergs Z.	Sonego L. (31)	0 : 2
11	Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17)	Fonseca J.	1 : 0
12	Atmane T.	Cobolli F. (15)	2 : 1
13	Tiafoe F. (10)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 0
14	Wong C.	Humbert U. (20)	0 : 2
15	Michelsen A. (28)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
16	Safiullin R.	Rune H. (7)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (5)	Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)	1 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Norrie C. (32)	2 : 0
19	Lehecka J. (22)	Boyer T.	2 : 1
20	Walton A.	Medvedev D. (12)	2 : 1
21	Khachanov K. (14)	Royer V.	2 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Blockx A.	2 : 1
24	Basavareddy N.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
26	Comesana F.	Darderi L. (RET.) (29)	1 : 0
27	Popyrin A. (21)	Landaluce M.	2 : 0
28	Tien L.	Rublev A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Mensik J. (16)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
30	Nardi L.	Shapovalov D. (24)	2 : 1
31	Griekspoor T. (26)	Medjedovic H.	0 : 2
32	Dzumhur D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Diallo G. (30)	2 : 0
2	Mannarino A.	Paul T. (13)	2 : 1
3	Rinderknech A. (RET.)	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	0 : 1
4	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Bonzi B.	1 : 2
5	Fritz T. (4)	Sonego L. (31)	2 : 0
6	Fonseca J.	Atmane T.	0 : 2
7	Tiafoe F. (10)	Humbert U. (20)	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A. (28)	Rune H. (7)	0 : 2
9	Shelton B. (5)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
10	Lehecka J. (22)	Walton A.	2 : 0
11	Khachanov K. (14)	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
12	Nakashima B. (27)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
13	Opelka R.	Comesana F.	1 : 2
14	Popyrin A. (21)	Rublev A. (9)	1 : 2
15	Mensik J. (RET.) (16)	Nardi L.	0 : 1
16	Medjedovic H.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	Bonzi B.	2 : 0
3	Fritz T. (4)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10)	Rune H. (7)	0 : 1
5	Shelton B. (5)	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
6	Khachanov K. (RET.) (14)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 1
7	Comesana F.	Rublev A. (9)	0 : 2
8	Nardi L.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	2 : 0
2	Atmane T.	Rune H. (7)	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (5)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Rublev A. (9)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Atmane T.	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Sinner J. (RET.) (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

0 : 0