Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova
Result
2:1
24/10/2025 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
39
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
73%68%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (49/80)64% (50/78)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)38% (14/37)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)57% (8/14)
1st Return Points Won
36% (28/78)39% (31/80)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (23/37)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
59% (65/110)57% (64/113)
Return Points Won
43% (49/113)41% (45/110)
Total Points Won
51% (114/223)49% (109/223)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
11
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)65% (11/17)
Return Games Won
35% (6/17)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Belinda Bencic
40.2%
Karolina Muchova
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 55.7%

Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.17)

1.6
(1.65)
5.1%
(6.7%)
What is the prediction for Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Muchova will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karolina Muchova will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bencic is ranked WTA: 13. Muchova is ranked WTA: 21.
    • Bencic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bencic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bencic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    22.02.2023 Belinda Bencic - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    Latest results of Belinda Bencic
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    20.10.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Karolina Muchova Vondrousova M. retired
    08.10.2025 Magdalena Frech - Karolina Muchova Muchova K. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)2 : 1
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.)Noskova L. (6)0 : 1
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Kenin S.2 : 1
    2Noskova L. (WO.) (6)Rybakina E. (2)

    Final
    1Bencic B. (5)Noskova L. (6)2 : 0