Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch University Melville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gwelup Croatia
37.1%
Draw
24.3%
Murdoch University Melville
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.4% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 23.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwelup Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwelup Croatia's form might have worsened.
  • Murdoch University Melville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murdoch University Melville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwelup Croatia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwelup Croatia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murdoch University Melville than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murdoch University Melville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gwelup Croatia - Murdoch University Melville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.15)
    3.7
    (3.72)
    2.34
    (2.72)
    11.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: ) and 7).
    • Gwelup Croatia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Murdoch Melville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwelup Croatia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gwelup Croatia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 3.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwelup Croatia - Murdoch University Melville were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Murdoch University Melville - Gwelup Croatia 2:3
    17.05.2025 Gwelup Croatia - Murdoch University Melville 3:1
    31.08.2024 Gwelup Croatia - Murdoch University Melville 2:6
    15.06.2024 Murdoch University Melville - Gwelup Croatia 2:2
    25.02.2023 Gwelup Croatia - Murdoch University Melville 5:1
    Latest results of Gwelup Croatia
    Australian WA State League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kingsley Westside641111:5613
    2Floreat Athena541010:4613
    3Nedlands531112:8410
    4Gwelup Croatia53119:6310
    5Joondalup53027:619
    6Quinns52127:8-17
    7Murdoch Melville51317:706
    8Mandurah City520312:13-16
    9Inglewood Utd51222:4-25
    10Cockburn City51138:12-44
    11Subiaco61057:13-63
    12Curtin Univ50141:7-61

          Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia
          Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: )
          WA State League (Relegation)
          Relegation