Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
07/03/2026 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
1011
Errors
11
2B - double
12
3B - triple
00
Home runs
10
Runs batted in
54
Left on base
914
Base on balls
39
Strikeouts
87
Stolen bases
23
At bat
3435
Batting average
0.2940.314

Chances of winning


Houston Astros
53.2%
Miami Marlins
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Houston Astros - Miami Marlins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.8)

    2.06
    (2.04)
    4.3%
    (4.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
    • Houston is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Miami's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 103:58. (average 5.2:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 4.1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Astros - Miami Marlins were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 2:0
    25.02.2026 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 1:4
    06.08.2025 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 6:4
    05.08.2025 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 3:7
    04.08.2025 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 2:8
    Latest results of Houston Astros
    Latest results of Miami Marlins
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves15102387:620.769
    2Pittsburgh Pirates16110593:700.688
    3New York Yankees15100590:600.667
    4Washington Nationals1583462:550.667
    5St.Louis Cardinals1481563:580.615
    6New York Mets1371559:450.583
    7Baltimore Orioles1672762:770.500
    8Boston Red Sox1570887:1050.467
    9Miami Marlins1461748:640.462
    10Toronto Blue Jays1662878:730.429
    11Tampa Bay Rays16601060:720.375
    12Philadelphia Phillies1551974:770.357
    13Houston Astros1543849:570.333
    14Minnesota Twins15411069:910.286
    15Detroit Tigers1433868:830.273


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1San Francisco Giants151302112:670.867
    2Los Angeles Dodgers161006109:870.625
    3Chicago White Sox17100792:690.588
    4Colorado Rockies1581698:940.571
    5Milwaukee Brewers1580787:730.533
    6San Diego Padres16808105:790.500
    7Cleveland Guardians17818100:890.500
    8Texas Rangers1680888:810.500
    9Cincinnati Reds1470797:1090.500
    10Chicago Cubs1670970:880.438
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1670983:1090.438
    12Kansas City Royals1561890:880.429
    13Los Angeles Angels18701182:1190.389
    14Athletics16601082:1000.375
    15Seattle Mariners16411183:1260.267