RB Leipzig vs SGS Essen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Women
Football German Bundesliga Women RB Leipzig - SGS Essen
Result
2:1
10/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 6
  • Referee: Westerhoff N. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaW-sport
asiaAsiaW-Sport Asia
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumW-sport
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
luxembourgLuxembourgW-Sport
malaysiaMalaysiaCanal+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay, W-Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
portugalPortugalW-Sport
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, W-Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
usaUsaDAZN USA, ESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.75
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (443/544)71% (219/309)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.82
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (443/544)71% (219/309)
Long passes
38% (20/52)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
60% (82/137)61% (59/96)
Crosses
17% (3/18)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.29
Throw-ins
2433
Fouls
1012
Tackles
59% (16/27)68% (15/22)
Duels won
6353
Clearances
3339
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.822.19
Goals prevented
-0.180.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Hoffmann G. ⚽,
  • 17', Joly L. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Landenberger J. ⚽, Kadowaki M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Debitzki J. ↓, Kopp L. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Platner P. ⚽, Kopp L. (A),
  • 62', Baum L. 🟨,
  • 69', Potsi K. ↓, Kowalski N. ↑,
  • 69', Hoffmann G. ↓, Boboy D. ↑,
  • 80', Kadowaki M. ↓, Chmielinski G. ↑,
  • 81', Dudek N. ↓, Krug V. ↑,
  • 81', Maier R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kopp L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Schasching A. ↓, Graf L. ↑,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
60.2%		Draw
22%		SGS Essen
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 24.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RB Leipzig's performance.
  • SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SGS Essen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-22.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RB Leipzig that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SGS Essen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    RB Leipzig - SGS Essen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.59 ↓
    (2.14)    		 4.37 ↑
    (3.32)    		 5.39 ↑
    (2.99)    		 4.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - SGS Essen?
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).
    • Recent form of RB Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SGS Essen has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 2.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - SGS Essen were as follows:
    26.04.2025 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 0:3
    11.11.2024 SGS Essen - RB Leipzig 0:0
    09.02.2024 SGS Essen - RB Leipzig 4:4
    29.09.2023 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 3:2
    28.02.2023 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 6:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    05.10.2025 Nürnberg - RB Leipzig 1:1
    25.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 0:1
    22.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:3
    14.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 0:3
    06.09.2025 Köln - RB Leipzig 0:2
    Latest results of SGS Essen
    04.10.2025 SGS Essen - Wolfsburg 0:8
    24.09.2025 SGS Essen - Köln 1:2
    20.09.2025 Union Berlin - SGS Essen 2:0
    13.09.2025 SGS Essen - Hamburger SV 0:0
    05.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - SGS Essen 5:0
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W761021:21919
    2Wolfsburg W751126:111516
    3Hoffenheim W741214:7713
    4Freiburg W741216:12413
    5Bayer Leverkusen W741211:12-113
    6Eintracht Frankfurt W740317:12512
    7Union Berlin W731313:10310
    8Werder Bremen W731311:13-210
    91.FC Nurnberg W723210:12-29
    10Koln W72148:14-67
    11RB Leipzig W72148:15-77
    12Hamburger SV W71338:16-86
    13Jena W70257:16-92
    14SGS Essen W70162:20-181

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women

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