Result
1:2
26/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (51/70) | 65% (53/82) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 52% (17/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 29% (20/70) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 63% (20/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 38% (3/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (62/97) | 61% (70/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (45/115) | 36% (35/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (107/212) | 50% (105/212) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Christian Garin
31.7% | Sebastian Baez
68.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christian Garin's form might have worsened.Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.3) |
|
1.39 ↓
(1.62) |
5.2%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5 Games - Garin (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5.5 Games - Garin (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sebastian Baez will win
(23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Garin (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Baez (votes: 7 - 63.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Garin is ranked ATP: 93. Baez is ranked ATP: 52.
- Garin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Baez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Garin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Baez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Garin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Christian Garin won against Sebastian Baez?
Christian Garin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Christian Garin?
Sebastian Baez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
25.03.2023
Sebastian Baez
-
Christian Garin
0:2
02.03.2023
Christian Garin
-
Sebastian Baez
0:2
Latest results of Christian Garin
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (RET.) (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vallejo D. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (8) | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
