Result
15/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arsenal
64.7% | Draw
21.4% | Sporting Lisbon
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.41) |
4.55 ↓
(4.82) |
6.87 ↓
(7.67) |
3.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 59% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Sporting (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
- Arsenal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Sporting Lisbon?
Arsenal has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Arsenal?
Sporting Lisbon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
07.04.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arsenal
0:1
26.11.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arsenal
1:5
16.03.2023
Arsenal
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
09.03.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arsenal
2:2
Latest results of Arsenal
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
