Porto Vitória vs Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Edson Mika 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Dandan ,
  • 31', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
  • 45', Matheus Guedes , Renato Henrique ,
  • 45+8', Matheus Firmino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kellyton , Wilson ,
  • 46', Matheus Santos , Gama ,
  • 58', Edson Mika , Conrado ,
  • 66', Walney 🟨,
  • 68', Patrick , Knupp ,
  • 68', Gean Miller , Marcus Diniz ,
  • 78', Aydhan Martins 🟨,
  • 79', Marcudinho , Chico ,
  • 79', Pepeu , Marco Damasceno ,

Chances of winning


Porto Vitória
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Serra
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.9% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 29% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Porto Vitória - Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.09)
    2.97
    (3.16)
    3.72
    (3.35)
    11.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Porto Vitória has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Serra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Porto Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto Vitória - Serra were as follows:
    15.07.2025 Porto Vitória - Serra 3:0
    08.07.2025 Serra - Porto Vitória 1:2
    04.06.2025 Serra - Porto Vitória 2:3
    21.02.2024 Porto Vitória - Serra 2:1
    03.03.2023 Serra - Porto Vitória 1:1
    Latest results of Porto Vitória
    Latest results of Serra
    31.01.2026 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 1:0
    28.01.2026 Forte Rio Bananal - Serra 2:0
    25.01.2026 Serra - Capixaba SC 3:0
    22.01.2026 Noroeste - Serra 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2