Unión San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
73
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fuentes D. , Bravo D. ,
  • 51', Tapia B. 🟨,
  • 56', Diaz R. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 56', Aravena B. , Jara I. ,
  • 57', Abalos A. , Sagredo B. ,
  • 62', Barrios A. 🟥,
  • 69', Riveros B. , Brun N. ,
  • 71', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
  • 72', Donadell N. , Reyes G. ,
  • 73', Perales V. 🟨,
  • 73', Rivera J. 🟨,
  • 81', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Monroy B. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Munoz P. ,

Chances of winning


Unión San Felipe
35.7%
Draw
31.9%
San Marcos de Arica
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 28.5% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 28.2% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.47)
    2.87
    (3.18)
    2.83
    (2.61)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Marcos de Arica (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
    • Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    18.10.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Unión San Felipe 1:0
    07.06.2025 Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica 1:2
    20.10.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Unión San Felipe 1:2
    03.06.2024 Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica 0:2
    22.07.2023 Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica 3:0