Alvarado vs Patronato Parana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - Patronato Parana
Result
3:1
30/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 8
  • Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)
Alvarado - Patronato Parana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
08
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
99
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
08
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Monzon L. , Gobetto J. (A),
  • 13', Monzon L. 🟨,
  • 26', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Diaz G. , Moreno E. (A),
  • 45', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz F. N. , Moreyra F. ,
  • 46', Pereyra V. L. , Castro F. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Gobetto J. , Aleo A. (A),
  • 54', Bonansea A. , Rueda M. ,
  • 54', Nievas B. , Barinaga J. ,
  • 61', Russo F. , Ascacibar J. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Ortiz D. , Borgnino M. (A),
  • 65', Borgnino M. , Vega F. ,
  • 66', Gobetto J. , James J. ,
  • 79', Ortiz D. , Bolzicco T. ,
  • 79', Bergara M. , Miori M. ,
  • 90+1', Navas J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alvarado
45%
Draw
30.6%
Patronato Parana
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 34.5% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 33.3% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Alvarado - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.2)
    3.03
    (2.7)
    3.74
    (4.01)
    8.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Alvarado will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 1:3
    10.03.2024 Alvarado - Patronato Parana 2:0
    08.07.2023 Alvarado - Patronato Parana 2:0
    06.03.2023 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 6:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Atlanta22109321:12939
    2San Martin T22108421:13838
    3Deportivo Madryn2189424:18633
    4San Miguel2289521:15633
    5Gimnasia y Tiro2288619:13632
    6Patronato2288626:21532
    7Tristan Suarez22711418:14432
    8Deportivo Maipu2288622:20232
    9Racing Cordoba2269727:29-227
    10Colegiales2276912:17-527
    11Almagro2268817:20-326
    12Los Andes2267919:22-325
    13Ferro2267914:21-725
    14Quilmes2059619:18124
    15Club A. Guemes22412618:21-324
    16All Boys22411718:20-223
    17Alvarado2148913:22-920
    18Arsenal Sarandi22391017:30-1318


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy22119223:101342
    2Gimnasia Mendoza211010122:101240
    3Chacarita Juniors22107528:161237
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto22910323:14937
    5Deportivo Moron2199323:101336
    6Chaco For Ever22113825:18736
    7Temperley2298521:17435
    8CA Mitre2287717:14331
    9Agropecuario2287725:25031
    10CA Estudiantes2286819:17230
    11Def. de Belgrano2178618:15329
    12Nueva Chicago2277821:21028
    13San Telmo2169619:22-327
    14Central Norte22741117:25-825
    15Colon Santa Fe22731216:22-624
    16Almirante Brown22391014:26-1218
    17Defensores Unidos2217148:37-2910
    18Talleres (R.E)2215166:26-208

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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