Arsimi vs Pelister – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 27

Match Stats

Yellow cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsimi
33%
Draw
30.3%
Pelister
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 28% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Arsimi - Pelister Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.73)
    2.96
    (3.24)
    2.45
    (2.34)
    11.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Arsimi - Pelister?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsimi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pelister will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arsimi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pelister is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Arsimi has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsimi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsimi - Pelister were as follows:
    08.12.2025 Arsimi - Pelister 3:3
    14.09.2025 Pelister - Arsimi 0:4
    13.04.2024 Pelister - Arsimi 3:0
    21.10.2023 Arsimi - Pelister 1:1
    04.03.2023 Pelister - Arsimi 3:1
    Latest results of Arsimi
    03.04.2026 AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi 0:2
    21.03.2026 Arsimi - Vardar 1:0
    15.03.2026 Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi 1:0
    10.03.2026 Rabotnički - Arsimi 1:0
    Latest results of Pelister
    08.04.2026 Pelister - Vardar 0:0
    22.03.2026 Pelister - Struga 0:2
    16.03.2026 Sileks - Pelister 0:0
    08.03.2026 Tikveš - Pelister 1:0
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vardar30235274:205474
    2Shkendija30215462:253768
    3Struga30195667:234462
    4Sileks30165956:292753
    5Tikves301251350:43741
    6Bashkimi301171236:49-1340
    7Arsimi301161347:52-539
    8Brera Strumica30991237:52-1536
    9Pelister30891331:40-933
    10Makedonija GP30861634:48-1430
    11Rabotnicki30851735:53-1829
    12Shkupi ✔ 30012915:110-951

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shkupi is Relegated to 2. MFL