Arsimi vs Pelister – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
08/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Kerim V. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Ristovski M. ,
  • 39', Kerim V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Shefiti S. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 3, ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 3, ,
  • 83', 3 - 3, ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsimi
52.6%
Draw
25.5%
Pelister
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 25.2% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsimi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Arsimi - Pelister Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.76)
    3.55
    (3.58)
    4.13
    (3.83)
    10.5%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).
    • Arsimi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pelister has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arsimi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Pelister has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Arsimi is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsimi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsimi - Pelister were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Pelister - Arsimi 0:4
    13.04.2024 Pelister - Arsimi 3:0
    21.10.2023 Arsimi - Pelister 1:1
    04.03.2023 Pelister - Arsimi 3:1
    Latest results of Arsimi
    28.11.2025 Sileks - Arsimi 1:3
    23.11.2025 Arsimi - Shkendija Tetovo 3:0
    08.11.2025 Struga - Arsimi 4:0
    03.11.2025 Arsimi - Bashkimi Kumanovo 4:2
    29.10.2025 Arsimi - Rabotnički 2:2
    Latest results of Pelister
    25.11.2025 Shkupi - Pelister 0:3
    05.11.2025 Pelister - Vardar 1:2
    30.10.2025 Pelister - Tikveš 0:0
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vardar20164050:173352
    2Shkendija20153241:172448
    3Struga21135346:182844
    4Sileks20122641:231838
    5Bashkimi2185825:34-929
    6Brera Strumica2176831:37-627
    7Arsimi2075837:39-226
    8Tikves20731026:24224
    9Makedonija GP20551023:31-820
    10Pelister20551023:32-920
    11Rabotnicki ✔ 20341321:39-1813
    12Shkupi ✔ 21012012:65-531

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Rabotnicki is Relegated to 2. MFL
    Shkupi is Relegated to 2. MFL