Result
2:1
11/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gama
54.5% | Draw
28.5% | Ceilândia
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)The ML Model estimate for Gama aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Gama - Ceilândia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.75) |
3.17 ↓
(3.19) |
5.29 ↑
(4.55) |
11%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gama won 0.
- Gama is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ceilândia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Gama is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Gama will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gama won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gama won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gama won against Ceilândia?
Gama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceilândia won against Gama?
Ceilândia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gama - Ceilândia were as follows:
17.02.2025
Ceilândia
-
Gama
2:0
23.03.2024
Ceilândia
-
Gama
4:3
16.03.2024
Gama
-
Ceilândia
0:0
02.03.2024
Gama
-
Ceilândia
1:1
05.03.2023
Gama
-
Ceilândia
0:2
Latest results of Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
