Result
0:3
01/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/344) | 84% (364/431) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (39/66) | 73% (98/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 25% (7/28) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 81% (17/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 31', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Estevao ⚽, Flaco Lopez (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 58', 0 - 3, Flaco Lopez ⚽,
- 59', Augusto ↓, Foguinho ↑,
- 59', Emerson Santos ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
- 61', Micael ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 72', Leo Jaba ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
- 73', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
- 74', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 75', Flaco Lopez ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 83', Torres F. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 83', Estevao ↓, Mayke ↑,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
12.6% | Draw
21.9% | Palmeiras
65.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Bernardo - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.45 ↑
(5.25) |
4.24 ↑
(3.5) |
1.42 ↓
(1.6) |
7.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0.
- Recent matches São Bernardo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1:13 (average 0.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Palmeiras?
São Bernardo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against São Bernardo?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Palmeiras were as follows:
15.02.2024
São Bernardo
-
Palmeiras
0:1
11.03.2023
Palmeiras
-
São Bernardo
1:0
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Palmeiras
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
