Vitória Salvador vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.56
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
78% (216/277)85% (410/480)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.68
Total shots
914
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (216/277)85% (410/480)
Long passes
45% (21/47)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
63% (49/78)68% (79/116)
Crosses
22% (5/23)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.80
Throw-ins
1130
Fouls
1415
Tackles
82% (14/17)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
3825
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.681.08
Goals prevented
0.680.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ze Marcos , Lucas Halter (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Richardson , Vina ,
  • 47', Vina 🟨,
  • 52', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 55', Cantalapiedra A. , Matheuzinho ,
  • 55', Erick , Osvaldo ,
  • 63', Fernando Sobral , Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 63', Galeano A. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 72', Renato Kayzer , Lopez R. ,
  • 72', Ronald Lopes , Pepe ,
  • 72', Pedro Henrique , Aylon ,
  • 80', Caceres R. , Claudinho ,
  • 82', Lourenco , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 86', Ramon 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
40.2%
Draw
31.8%
Ceará
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.1% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.8% 29.8%

Vitória Salvador - Ceará Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.4)
2.98
(3)
3.42
(3.1)
5.2%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
    • Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Ramos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Diego (Yellow Cards) Fernandinho (Inactive) Lucas Lima (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Ceará were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 1:0
    13.08.2023 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 1:0
    10.05.2023 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 0:2
    08.03.2023 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 2:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Ceará
    29.09.2025 São Paulo - Ceará 0:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet