Libertad Loja vs Delfín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Delfín
Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 12
Libertad Loja - Delfín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.12
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
79% (308/392)64% (156/245)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.08
Total shots
94
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
31
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
79% (308/392)64% (156/245)
Long passes
53% (31/58)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)53% (51/96)
Crosses
23% (7/30)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.18
Throw-ins
4726
Fouls
1514
Tackles
85% (17/20)79% (19/24)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.080.57
Goals prevented
-0.920.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Levato M. ,
  • 44', Cuello B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Verges J. , Avila D. ,
  • 46', Monaga J. , Quinonez O. ,
  • 55', Caicedo E. 🟥,
  • 61', Cuero Mercado J. W. , Leon J. ,
  • 67', Gallardo N. 🟨,
  • 70', Gallardo N. 🟨,
  • 73', Zicarelli F. , Mendoza E. ,
  • 73', Levato M. , Cagua G. ,
  • 79', Montano J. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 87', Cuello B. , Reyes M. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
57.4%
Draw
24.3%
Delfín
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 27.3% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.
  • Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Libertad Loja - Delfín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.8)
    3.8
    (3.4)
    5.08
    (4.41)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Delfín?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Delfín were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Delfín 2:0
    25.03.2024 Delfín - Libertad Loja 1:1
    17.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Delfín 1:3
    18.03.2023 Delfín - Libertad Loja 3:2
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of Delfín
    04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0
    25.04.2025 El Nacional - Delfín 3:2
    09.04.2025 Vinotinto - Delfín 5:0
    05.04.2025 Delfín - SD Aucas 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle20117237:181940
    2LDU Quito20106435:191636
    3Barcelona SC20105532:25735
    4Dep. Cuenca20103724:18633
    5Orense20103723:23033
    6Libertad2086630:26430
    7Aucas1985626:24229
    8Delfin2068620:28-826
    9U. Catolica2067731:28325
    10Vinotinto2065926:26023
    11EL Nacional1965823:28-523
    12Manta2058727:33-623
    13Macara2057819:20-122
    14Emelec2057815:24-922
    15Mushuc Runa20451124:37-1317
    16Tecnico U20271118:33-1513

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Loja - Delfín?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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