Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Rabiu M. 🟨,
- 42', Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Abiken A. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
- 64', Trufanov Y. ↓, Yusov D. ↑,
- 68', Mukhammed A. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
- 68', Sovet S. ↓, Zhumat M. ↑,
- 70', Henrique ↓, Zhumabek A. ↑,
- 70', Zhumat M. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 0, Khvalko E. ⚽, Dorofeev K. (A),
- 74', Moses V. 🟨,
- 79', Noyok O. 🟨,
- 79', Moses V. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
- 79', Ezekiel I. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
- 87', Jones T. 🟨,
- 89', Agzambaev N. 🟨,
- 89', Yudenkov R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zhumabek A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Kalmuratov K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atyrau
32.4% | Draw
31.2% | Kaisar
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atyrau's form might have worsened.Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Atyrau - Kaisar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.45) |
2.94 ↓
(2.98) |
2.52 ↓
(2.92) |
8.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atyrau - Kaisar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kaisar will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atyrau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Kaisar?
Atyrau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kaisar won against Atyrau?
Kaisar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Kaisar were as follows:
23.08.2025
Kaisar
-
Atyrau
0:0
25.05.2025
Atyrau
-
Kaisar
1:2
03.08.2024
Atyrau
-
Kaisar
2:2
20.04.2024
Kaisar
-
Atyrau
1:1
22.10.2023
Kaisar
-
Atyrau
1:0
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Yelimay Semey | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ordabasy | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Kyzylzhar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Ertis Pavlodar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zhenis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Altai | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Tobol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
