Hungary vs Italy, World Cup Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
9:12
12/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Division 1 - Second stage

Chances of winning


Hungary
33.1%
Draw
13.1%
Italy
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 12.6% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 12.5% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hungary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungary than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Hungary - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    7.06
    (7.44)
    1.72
    (1.74)
    8.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 25.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hungary won 3.
    • Recent performances by Hungary have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Italy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Italy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hungary won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 192:200. (average 9.6:10).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hungary - Italy were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Hungary - Italy 14:15
    07.08.2024 Italy - Hungary 10:12
    19.07.2024 Italy - Hungary 8:10
    12.07.2024 Hungary - Italy 11:13
    07.02.2024 Hungary - Italy 15:14
    Latest results of Hungary
    11.04.2026 Hungary - Greece 10:16
    09.04.2026 Hungary - Spain 14:15
    08.04.2026 Serbia - Hungary 10:12
    07.04.2026 Netherlands - Hungary 15:16
    06.04.2026 Hungary - Greece 13:12
    Latest results of Italy
    11.04.2026 Italy - Spain 12:16
    09.04.2026 Italy - Greece 16:14
    08.04.2026 Italy - Croatia 13:11
    07.04.2026 USA - Italy 8:15
    06.04.2026 Italy - Spain 12:10
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BBrazil16 : 10
    2FrancePortugal23 : 9
    3MontenegroMalta23 : 6
    4RomaniaArgentina21 : 11
    5CanadaUkraine13 : 17
    6TurkeyGeorgia12 : 19
    7AustraliaSlovakia18 : 9
    8GermanyChina14 : 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BFrance13 : 14
    2MontenegroRomania14 : 8
    3UkraineGeorgia9 : 20
    4AustraliaGermany11 : 14

    Semi-finals
    1FranceMontenegro11 : 15
    2GeorgiaGermany19 : 13

    Final
    1MontenegroGeorgia19 : 17

    3rd place
    2FranceGermany6 : 8