Luca Potenza vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
02/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
57%53%
1st serve points won
64% (25/39)80% (32/40)
2nd serve points won
40% (12/30)46% (16/35)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)75% (6/8)
1st return points won
20% (8/40)38% (15/39)
2nd return points won
54% (19/35)60% (18/30)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)57% (4/7)
Winners
1321
Unforced errors
4224
Net points won
80% (12/15)54% (7/13)
Service Points Won
52% (36/69)64% (47/74)
Return Points Won
36% (27/74)48% (33/69)
Total Points Won
44% (63/143)56% (80/143)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Luca Potenza
47.6%
Lorenzo Carboni
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.8)

    1.77
    (1.89)
    7.7%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Carboni will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carboni: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Potenza (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorenzo Carboni will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Potenza (votes: 1 - 20%). Carboni (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Potenza is ranked ATP: 428. Carboni is ranked ATP: 443.
    • In recent matches, Carboni has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
    10.03.2023 Lorenzo Carboni - Luca Potenza 2:1
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2