Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Yan de Jesus 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ronaldo ↓, Thainler ↑,
- 46', Carlinhos ↓, Gregorio P. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Breninho ⚽,
- 59', Yan de Jesus ↓, Lekinho ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Tiago Moura ⚽,
- 67', David Lopes ↓, Gui Mendes ↑,
- 72', Breninho 🟨,
- 76', Gui Mendes 🟨,
- 78', Ruan ↓, Davi ↑,
- 79', Rafael 🟨,
- 80', Gregorio P. 🟨,
- 84', Neto Oliveira ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
- 90', Rafael ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 90+2', Tiago Moura ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 90+2', Bahia ↓, Jhonatan Marino ↑,
- 90+4', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Desportiva Ferroviaria 28.1% | Draw 31.7% | Rio Branco AC ES 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco AC ES's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Branco AC ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.22 ↑ (2.35) |
2.85 ↓ (3.26) |
2.25 ↓ (2.78) |
10.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Ferroviaria won against Rio Branco AC ES?
Desportiva Ferroviaria has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Branco AC ES won against Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Rio Branco AC ES has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES were as follows:
13.05.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Rio Branco AC ES
4:0
22.03.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Rio Branco AC ES
0:1
15.03.2025
Rio Branco AC ES
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:2
25.01.2025
Rio Branco AC ES
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:0
30.07.2024
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Rio Branco AC ES
1:0
Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
Latest results of Rio Branco AC ES
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final