Result
4:5
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 48', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 65', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 3, ⚽,
- 82', 4 - 4, ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Brasilia
41.6% | Draw
29.8% | Paranoá
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Brasilia's performance.Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paranoá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Brasilia - Paranoá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.49) |
3.05 ↓
(3.13) |
3.19 ↑
(2.61) |
9.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Brasilia won against Paranoá?
Real Brasilia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paranoá won against Real Brasilia?
Paranoá has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Brasilia - Paranoá were as follows:
22.02.2025
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
2:1
02.03.2024
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
2:1
01.04.2023
Real Brasilia
-
Paranoá
1:1
25.03.2023
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
1:1
11.03.2023
Paranoá
-
Real Brasilia
1:3
Latest results of Real Brasilia
Latest results of Paranoá
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
