Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (284/363) | 64% (112/176) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (284/363) | 64% (112/176) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (62/105) | 49% (27/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 36', Eduardo Melo 🟨,
- 44', Romercio 🟨,
- 45+2', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ivo ↓, Caua ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Leandro Moura ⚽,
- 52', Carlos Maia 🟨,
- 60', Carlos Maia ↓, Vinicius Kiss ↑,
- 60', Eduardo Melo ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
- 61', William 🟨,
- 68', Luam Parede ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 70', Andrey Nunes ↓, Gustavo Lino ↑,
- 70', Angelo ↓, Raphael Soares ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Gabriel Lima ⚽,
- 79', Leandro Moura ↓, Allison ↑,
- 83', Keverton 🟨,
- 84', William ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Henrique ⚽,
- 90+5', Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
EC São José Porto Alegre 42.9% | Draw 30.4% | Novo Hamburgo 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.03) |
3 (3) |
3.42 ↓ (3.58) |
9.9% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-3. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 3.
- EC São José is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Hamburgo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- EC São José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- EC São José might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has EC São José Porto Alegre won against Novo Hamburgo?
EC São José Porto Alegre has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novo Hamburgo won against EC São José Porto Alegre?
Novo Hamburgo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo were as follows:
14.02.2026
Novo Hamburgo
-
EC São José Porto Alegre
3:2
17.01.2026
Novo Hamburgo
-
EC São José Porto Alegre
0:0
26.02.2024
EC São José Porto Alegre
-
Novo Hamburgo
3:0
11.03.2023
Novo Hamburgo
-
EC São José Porto Alegre
1:2
Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre
Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Internacional | Gremio | 0 : 3 |