Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 32
- Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/374) | 84% (344/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/374) | 84% (344/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 81% (82/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Arslan A. ⚽,
- 31', Thea A. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Hazard K. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Bettinger M. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
- 62', Florica L. 🟨,
- 65', Reynaerts S. 🟨,
- 65', Soelle F. ↓, Gedikli E. ↑,
- 65', Hazard K. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
- 67', Florica L. ↓, Lake T. ↑,
- 70', Reynaerts S. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 81', Mbalanda J. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
- 85', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
- 85', Bruggeman B. ↓, Pirotte L. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Dailly N. ⚽, Ion R. (A),
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
57.6% | Draw
23.3% | ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFC Liège's performance.ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-16.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.77) |
3.99 ↑
(3.63) |
4.8 ↑
(3.99) |
8.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
RFC Liège will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- ROCCM is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 3.
- RFC Liège is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- ROCCM is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, RFC Liège is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
RFC Liège has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne won against RFC Liège?
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne were as follows:
01.11.2025
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
-
RFC Liège
1:1
12.03.2023
RFC Liège
-
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
2:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
