Ceilândia vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
06
Corner kicks
42
Total shots
37
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 2, ,
  • 57', 0 - 3, ,
  • 83', (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Ceilândia
30.6%
Draw
32.1%
Capital CF Ltda
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 30.2% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 30.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.81)
    2.84
    (3.02)
    2.45
    (2.43)
    9.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 1.
    • Ceilândia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Capital's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia 2:2
    03.05.2025 Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda 1:0
    22.03.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia 2:1
    23.02.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia 4:1
    22.01.2025 Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda 1:2
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    31.01.2026 Ceilândia - Real Brasilia 2:0
    25.01.2026 Brasília - Ceilândia 1:2
    21.01.2026 Ceilândia - ARUC 3:0
    18.01.2026 Samambaia - Ceilândia 2:1
    10.01.2026 Ceilândia - Sobradinho 1:1
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)