Pavel Kotov vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Marrakech Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci
Result
0:2
01/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
39
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
72%57%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)81% (26/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)63% (15/24)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/32)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (9/24)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)43% (3/7)
Winners
1126
Unforced Errors
2127
Net Points Won
57% (4/7)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
59% (38/64)73% (41/56)
Return Points Won
27% (15/56)41% (26/64)
Total Points Won
44% (53/120)56% (67/120)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
53.8%
Mattia Bellucci
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.
  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.1)

    2.04
    (1.73)
    5.7%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 62.1%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kotov is ranked ATP: 102. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 72.
    • Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bellucci has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
    14.03.2023 Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci 2:0
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bye
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lalami Laaroussi Y. (WC)2 : 0
    3Coria F. (Q)Herbert P. (Q)1 : 2
    4Kotov P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    5Muller A. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Dellien H.1 : 2
    7Benchetrit E. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Majchrzak K. (Q)Munar J. (6)2 : 0
    9Carballes Baena R. (5)Baadi T. (WC)2 : 0
    10Altmaier D.Virtanen O.1 : 2
    11Fognini F.Collignon R.0 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (4)
    13Darderi L. (7)Boyer T.2 : 0
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Gaston H.1 : 2
    15Kopriva V.Gojo B. (PR)2 : 1
    16ByeSonego L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 1
    2Herbert P.Bellucci M. (8)0 : 2
    3Muller A. (3)Dellien H.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (5)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    6Collignon R.Borges N. (4)1 : 2
    7Darderi L. (7)Gaston H.2 : 1
    8Kopriva V.Sonego L. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Bellucci M. (8)2 : 0
    2Muller A. (3)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    3Carballes Baena R. (5)Borges N. (4)2 : 0
    4Darderi L. (7)Kopriva V.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Majchrzak K.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (5)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Griekspoor T. (1)Darderi L. (7)0 : 2