Excursionistas vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Vico L. 🟨,
  • 24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Vico L. , Goyeneche J. ,
  • 63', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 73', Campana A. I. , Gomez G. ,
  • 76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 79', Goyeneche J. , Monzon S. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 83', Cajal N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
35.5%
Draw
32.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.42)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Ferrocarril (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Excursionistas (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ferrocarril (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.11.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:1
    08.11.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    12.10.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 3:1
    24.05.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Excursionistas65109:2716
    2Argentino de Merlo64117:2513
    3Real Pilar64029:7212
    4Arsenal Sarandi632110:4611
    5Talleres (R.E)63215:2311
    6Villa Dalmine63215:2311
    7Sportivo Italiano63216:4211
    8San Martin Burzaco623111:569
    9Deportivo Camioneros62224:408
    10Comunicaciones62224:5-18
    11Dep. Merlo62226:8-28
    12Laferrere62137:10-37
    13Liniers62135:8-37
    14UAI Urquiza60603:306
    15Argentino de Quilmes61324:5-16
    16Flandria62046:9-36
    17Brown Adrogue61323:8-56
    18Dock Sud61235:6-15
    19Villa San Carlos61237:9-25
    20Deportivo Armenio61144:8-44
    21Defensores Unidos60334:7-33
    22Ituzaingo60332:8-63

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