St Kilda Saints vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 14

Match Stats


Goals
8	20
Behinds
12	12
Kicks
207	244
Handballs
133	159
Disposals
340	403
Frees For
15	22
Frees Against
22	15
Clearances Completed
40	38
Marks
94	121
Tackles
58	59
Hitouts
37	42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (10 - 26)
01:04, Sinclair J. (Behind),
02:17, (Behind Rushed),
08:54, Darcy S. (Behind),
10:02, (Behind Rushed),
11:20, Khamis B. (G),
13:00, Wood M. (Behind),
16:28, Sanders R. (G),
19:03, Higgins J. (Behind),
22:39, Freijah J. (G),
26:41, Higgins J. (G),
28:40, Darcy S. (G),
2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
00:55, (Behind Rushed),
03:01, Naughton A. (G),
05:11, Richards E. (G),
07:03, Naughton A. (G),
08:45, Keeler I. (G),
11:26, Khamis B. (G),
12:47, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
14:18, Darcy S. (Behind),
15:38, Darcy S. (G),
18:22, Sharman C. (G),
22:29, (Behind Rushed),
23:32, Windhager M. (G),
29:27, Davidson S. (G),
30:45, Wood M. (G),
3rd Quarter (15 - 41)
02:55, (Behind Rushed),
05:17, English T. (G),
06:49, Owens M. (Behind),
07:40, (Behind Rushed),
08:45, Owens M. (Behind),
10:18, Darcy S. (G),
12:37, Sanders R. (G),
13:55, Davidson S. (Behind),
14:58, Naughton A. (G),
22:19, West R. (Behind),
25:08, Byrnes R. (G),
26:46, McNeil L. (G),
28:16, West R. (G),
29:36, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
32:05, West R. (Behind),
33:16, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (9 - 27)
00:50, Sinclair J. (Behind),
02:29, Hill B. (G),
03:49, Liberatore T. (Behind),
04:50, Marshall R. (Behind),
05:56, Hynes C. (G),
10:50, Kennedy M. (G),
15:31, Treloar A. (G),
17:17, Wood M. (Behind),
21:31, (Behind Rushed),
24:56, English T. (Behind),
28:12, Kennedy M. (G),

Chances of winning

St Kilda Saints
26.6%

Western Bulldogs
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

82.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)		1.28 ↓ (1.3)	7.4% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-23)

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Western may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Western is a strong favorite.
We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1244:1528. (average 65.5:80.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 695:816. (average 69.5:81.6).

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Western Bulldogs?

St Kilda Saints has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against St Kilda Saints?

Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs were as follows:

20.04.2025 Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints 127:56

18.04.2024 St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs 64:124

25.03.2023 Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints 41:92

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

01.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 63:91 ✺

25.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns 61:80 ✺

18.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - St Kilda Saints 108:80 ✺

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77 ✺

02.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers 94:33 ✺

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

05.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 59:81 ✺

22.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 127:113 ✺

17.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers 127:36 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
5	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
6	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
7	Western Bulldogs	15	9	0	6	1582:1203	131.50	36
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	15	4	1	10	1152:1467	78.53	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1