Result
0:6
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 56', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 81', 0 - 5, ⚽,
- 85', 0 - 6, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paranoá
13.3% | Draw
24.5% | Samambaia
62.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samambaia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samambaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paranoá - Samambaia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.88 ↑
(4.95) |
3.74 ↑
(3.21) |
1.47 ↓
(1.69) |
9.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Paranoá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Samambaia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Samambaia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paranoá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Paranoá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Paranoá won against Samambaia?
Paranoá has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samambaia won against Paranoá?
Samambaia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paranoá - Samambaia were as follows:
29.01.2025
Paranoá
-
Samambaia
2:0
20.01.2024
Samambaia
-
Paranoá
1:2
18.03.2023
Samambaia
-
Paranoá
2:3
Latest results of Paranoá
Latest results of Samambaia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
