Result
27:28
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Baltic League - Play Offs - 3rd place
Chances of winning
Mistra
35.4% | Draw
10% | Šviesa
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mistra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mistra's form might have worsened.Šviesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Šviesa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mistra than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mistra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šviesa than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šviesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mistra - Šviesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.1) |
9
(9) |
1.65 ↓
(2) |
10.9%
(8.7%) | |
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mistra won 4.
- Mistra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Šviesa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mistra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mistra has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Šviesa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mistra won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 295:297. (average 29.5:29.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mistra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 153:138. (average 30.6:27.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mistra won against Šviesa?
Mistra has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Šviesa won against Mistra?
Šviesa has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mistra - Šviesa were as follows:
15.02.2026
Mistra
-
Šviesa
32:25
30.11.2025
Šviesa
-
Mistra
27:28
18.01.2025
Šviesa
-
Mistra
32:32
14.12.2024
Mistra
-
Šviesa
30:25
26.10.2024
Mistra
-
Šviesa
31:25
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Polva Serviti (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sviesa (4) | Tenax Dobele (5) | 36 : 32, 23 : 26 |
| 3 | Dragunas Klaipeda (2) | ASK/MSG (7) | 47 : 42, 41 : 30 |
| 4 | Mistra (3) | Cocks (6) | 28 : 24, 30 : 29 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Polva Serviti (1) | Sviesa (4) | 31 : 29 |
| 2 | Dragunas Klaipeda (2) | Mistra (3) | 39 : 23 |
Final| 1 | Polva Serviti (1) | Dragunas Klaipeda (2) | 32 : 29 |
3rd place| 2 | Sviesa (4) | Mistra (3) | 29 : 30 |
