Bayern Munich vs Arsenal LFC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
3:2
12/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
ukraineUkraineDisney+, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.00
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
84% (428/511)82% (368/448)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.00
xG on target (xGOT)
3.101.23
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
77
Passes
84% (428/511)82% (368/448)
Long passes
39% (20/51)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)70% (88/125)
Crosses
25% (2/8)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.67
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
77
Tackles
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
2117
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.233.10
Goals prevented
-0.770.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Fox E. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Caldentey M. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Damnjanovic J. ↓, Harder P. ↑,
  • 59', Blackstenius S. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
  • 59', Foord C. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
  • 62', Schuller L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
  • 62', Dallmann L. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Sehitler A. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
  • 75', McCabe K. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
  • 75', Pelova V. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Harder P. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
  • 82', Mead B. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
33.8%		Draw
24.8%		Arsenal LFC
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 26.3% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 26.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal LFC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.78 ↑
    (2.45)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.6)    		 2.24 ↓
    (2.7)    		 7.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal LFC: 45.7% – 84.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal LFC will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayern has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Arsenal LFC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal LFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.
    • Arsenal LFC could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Arsenal LFC - Bayern Munich 3:2
    09.10.2024 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 5:2
    29.03.2023 Arsenal LFC - Bayern Munich 2:0
    21.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 1:0
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    07.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0
    04.11.2025 Nürnberg - Bayern Munich 0:6
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - SGS Essen 4:1
    19.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Köln 5:1
    16.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Juventus 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    08.11.2025 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 1:1
    02.11.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal LFC 1:4
    16.10.2025 Benfica - Arsenal LFC 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 Arsenal LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0
    07.10.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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