Result
1:3
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WSL 2 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | WSL 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/348) | 64% (181/282) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 3.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/348) | 64% (181/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 17% (11/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (94/147) | 54% (39/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (20/23) | 81% (25/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.43 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', 0 - 1, Blanchard A. ⚽, Sharpe M. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Larkin A. ⚽, Weerden A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sarri V. ↓, Hurtre O. ↑,
- 63', Sharpe M. ↓, Swaby A. ↑,
- 63', Howat K. ↓, Hughes E. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Hughes E. ⚽, Weerden A. (A),
- 81', Blanchard A. ↓, Vanhaevermaet J. ↑,
- 84', Leidhammar W. ↓, Lee Geum-Min ↑,
- 84', Hopcroft S. ↓, Miyagawa A. ↑,
- 85', Lindstrom L. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Hurtre O. ⚽, Crosthwaite L. (A),
- 90+2', Larkin A. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
- 90+2', Ladd H. ↓, Littlejohn R. ↑,
- 90+4', Harris M. ↓, Quinn Lu. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City LFC
57.2% | Draw
25.4% | Crystal Palace
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
3.6 ↓
(3.92) |
5.26 ↑
(4.17) |
9.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL and 5).
- Birmingham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crystal Palace has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City LFC won against Crystal Palace?
Birmingham City LFC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Birmingham City LFC?
Crystal Palace has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace were as follows:
07.12.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Birmingham City LFC
3:0
14.04.2024
Crystal Palace
-
Birmingham City LFC
1:0
03.09.2023
Birmingham City LFC
-
Crystal Palace
1:2
16.04.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Birmingham City LFC
2:4
22.03.2023
Birmingham City LFC
-
Crystal Palace
3:1
Latest results of Birmingham City LFC
Latest results of Crystal Palace
