Smorgon vs Torpedo-BelAZ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
18/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Belarusian Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Sedko P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Budko M. , Maslovskiy V. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Butarevich A. ,
  • 61', Dubovik T. , Bamba L. ,
  • 61', Doumbia S. , Kukhlejj R. ,
  • 61', Chebotar V. , Yablonskiy M. ,
  • 64', Skavysh M. , Vasilevich I. ,
  • 71', Bamba M. , Mychelkin E. ,
  • 83', Camara M. , Zheleznyi R. ,
  • 83', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 83', Klimovich V. , Borodin D. ,
  • 85', 0 - 3, Borodin D. ,
  • 87', Selyava A. 🟨,
  • 88', Selyava A. , Baranok Z. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 4, Vasilevich I. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Smorgon
13.5%
Draw
23.7%
Torpedo-BelAZ
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.8% 21.7% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.4% 20.8% 71.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo-BelAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.94
    (9.5)
    3.94
    (4.3)
    1.49
    (1.36)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.
    • Smorgon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Torpedo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Torpedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Torpedo is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:27. (average 0.6:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.4:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    03.05.2025 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ 0:1
    14.09.2024 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ 0:4
    13.08.2023 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ 1:1
    01.04.2023 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 2:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    09.11.2025 Isloch Minsk - Smorgon 0:0
    01.11.2025 Smorgon - Vitebsk 0:2
    24.10.2025 Minsk - Smorgon 2:2
    18.10.2025 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 1:0
    05.10.2025 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 3:1
    Latest results of Torpedo-BelAZ
    09.11.2025 Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ 1:1
    02.11.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Minsk 0:1
    29.10.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Nadezhda BaranoviciUni X Labs0 : 2
    2ByeSmorgon
    3Neman MostyBumProm Gomel0 : 4
    4ByeZhodino
    5BobovnyaKrumkachy1 : 2
    6ByeNaftan
    7Agro PelishcheSKA-19380 : 2
    8ByeBATE
    9Gazovik VitebskOstrovets0 : 6
    10ByeSlutsk
    11MioryNiva Dolbizno0 : 4
    12ByeIsloch
    13Mozyrskiy NPZLokomotiv Gomel0 : 3
    14ByeDin. Minsk
    15Dnepr MogilevBye
    16ByeVitebsk
    17Stanles PinskVolna Pinsk0 : 3
    18ByeFC Minsk
    19Drut BelynichiOrsha0 : 2
    20ByeDynamo Brest
    21PolotskBaranovici0 : 5
    22ByeML Vitebsk
    23SvislochFC Slonim1 : 4
    24ByeNeman
    25KrechetOsipovichi0 : 4
    26ByeSlavia Mozyr
    27Technolog MogilevDMedia0 : 6
    28ByeFC Gomel
    29InformLida0 : 6
    30ByeArsenal Dzerzhinsk
    31BelshinaBye
    32ByeMolodechno

    1/16-finals
    1Uni X LabsSmorgon0 : 2
    2BumProm GomelZhodino0 : 2
    3KrumkachyNaftan1 : 2
    4SKA-1938BATE0 : 1
    5OstrovetsSlutsk0 : 3
    6Niva DolbiznoIsloch0 : 4
    7Lokomotiv GomelDin. Minsk1 : 2
    8Dnepr MogilevVitebsk0 : 1
    9Volna PinskFC Minsk2 : 3
    10OrshaDynamo Brest1 : 8
    11BaranoviciML Vitebsk1 : 2
    12FC SlonimNeman1 : 0
    13OsipovichiSlavia Mozyr1 : 5
    14DMediaFC Gomel0 : 2
    15LidaArsenal Dzerzhinsk0 : 1
    16BelshinaMolodechno0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1SmorgonZhodino0 : 4
    2NaftanBATE3 : 4
    3SlutskIsloch1 : 2
    4Din. MinskVitebsk2 : 1
    5FC MinskDynamo Brest2 : 3
    6ML VitebskFC Slonim8 : 1
    7Slavia MozyrFC Gomel1 : 0
    8Arsenal DzerzhinskMolodechno1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1ZhodinoBATE
    2IslochDin. Minsk
    3Dynamo BrestML Vitebsk
    4Slavia MozyrArsenal Dzerzhinsk