Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
16:36
15/03/2026 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 2
  • Referee: Smith T. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
36
Conversion goals
26
Conversion goal attempts
36
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
11
Goals %
5086
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
138185
Metres run with ball
13941750

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 30)
  • 2', Marzhew G. (Try),
  • 3', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Young D. (Try),
  • 14', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Fogarty J. (Try),
  • 17', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Trbojevic T. (Try),
  • 22', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 26', Ponga K. (Try),
  • 27', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Hunt F. (Try),
  • 38', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Frizell T. (Try),
  • 40', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 6)
  • 44', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
  • 46', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 47', Young D. (Try),
  • 68', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
60.3%
Draw
4.5%
Newcastle Knights
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 4.5% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.59)
    19.16
    (20.62)
    2.67
    (2.44)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4.5, OT - Manly-Warringah (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Manly-Warringah (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 2.
    • Manly-Warringah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 519:313. (average 26:15.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 345:162. (average 28.8:13.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 26:22
    14.07.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights 44:6
    28.05.2023 Newcastle Knights - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 28:18
    01.04.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Knights 32:32
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    Main
    PlWLPts
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    3Canterbury Bulldogs22029:246
    4Melbourne Storm321112:424
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    6Dolphins32186:644
    7South Sydney Rabbitohs32178:724
    8Newcastle Knights32176:724
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    12NQ Cowboys31264:882
    13Brisbane Broncos31250:802
    14Canberra Raiders31245:822
    15Manly Sea Eagles30360:982
    16St. George Illawarra Dragons30354:910
    17Gold Coast Titans30340:980

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