Indios de Mayagüez vs Leones de Ponce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Puerto Rican BSN Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce
23/07/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BSN - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Indios de Mayagüez
53.3%
Leones de Ponce
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indios de Mayagüez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indios de Mayagüez's performance.
  • Leones de Ponce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones de Ponce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indios de Mayagüez than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indios de Mayagüez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones de Ponce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.98)

    1.98
    (1.71)
    8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 159.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leones de Ponce (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Leones de Ponce will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 82:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indios de Mayagüez won 3.
    • Indios de Mayagüez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leones de Ponce is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Indios de Mayagüez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indios de Mayagüez won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1743:1692. (average 87.2:84.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indios de Mayagüez won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 903:898. (average 90.3:89.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce were as follows:
    21.07.2025 Leones de Ponce - Indios de Mayagüez 78:85
    19.07.2025 Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce 85:99
    13.06.2025 Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce 77:76
    12.04.2025 Leones de Ponce - Indios de Mayagüez 61:72
    01.04.2025 Indios de Mayagüez - Leones de Ponce 84:86
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Indios de Mayaguez (1)Capitanes de Arecibo (4)4 : 3
    2Piratas de Quebradillas (2)Leones De Ponce (3)2 : 4
    3Vaqueros de Bayamon (1)Gigantes de Carolina (4)4 : 0
    4Cangrejeros (2)Criollos de Caguas (3)4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Indios de Mayaguez (1)Leones De Ponce (3)1 : 1
    2Vaqueros de Bayamon (1)Cangrejeros (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2