Exeter Chiefs vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup
Result
33:33
02/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports
italyItalySky Sport Arena
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter Chiefs
54.7%		Draw
4.2%		Montpellier
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 4% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter Chiefs's form might have worsened.
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter Chiefs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Exeter Chiefs - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.69 ↑
    (1.34)    		 22.5 ↓
    (23)    		 2.23 ↓
    (3.31)    		 8.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Exeter Chiefs - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 42.8% – 90.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:25.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Exeter Chiefs will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Exeter Chiefs to win the game is with odds 1.62.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 136-77.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter Chiefs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 83-16.
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    26.03.2023 Bath - Exeter Chiefs 36:19
    19.03.2023 London Irish - Exeter Chiefs 20:24 ✺
    11.03.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls 24:5
    04.03.2023 Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs 40:5 ✺
    26.02.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks 24:22 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    25.03.2023 Perpignan - Montpellier 22:23 ✺
    04.03.2023 Montpellier - Clermont 34:6 ✺
    25.02.2023 Stade Français - Montpellier 27:17 ✺
    18.02.2023 Lyon - Montpellier 31:21 ✺
    04.02.2023 Montpellier - Toulon 18:20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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