Chiefs vs Blues: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Super Rugby Chiefs - Blues
Result
19:20
07/06/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Rugby - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)
Chiefs - Blues - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
12
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
12
Penalty Goals
42
Penalty Goal Attempts
52
Goals %
83100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
118109
Metres Run With Ball
304375
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (9 - 3)
  • 1', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2', Dyer G. , O’Neill R. ,
  • 4', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', O’Neill R. , Dyer G. ,
  • 21', Ross A. , Norris O. ,
  • 29', Norris O. , Ross A. ,
  • 32', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Riccitelli R. 🟨,
  • 36', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Choat A. , Eklund K. ,
  • 2nd Half (10 - 17)
  • 48', Renata M. , Taavao A. ,
  • 48', Eklund K. , Choat A. ,
  • 49', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Taukei'aho S. , McAlister B. ,
  • 50', Ross A. , Norris O. ,
  • 50', Boshier K. , Sititi W. ,
  • 52', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 56', Riccitelli R. , Eklund K. ,
  • 57', Evans C. , Forbes C. ,
  • 60', Rona D. (Try),
  • 60', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Fusitua J. , Lay J. ,
  • 62', Christie F. , Nock S. ,
  • 64', Dyer G. , O’Neill R. ,
  • 64', Carter L. , Nanai-Seturo E. ,
  • 64', Ah Kuoi N. , Lord J. ,
  • 65', Choat A. , Segner A. ,
  • 66', Eklund K. (Try),
  • 67', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', McWhannell L. , Beehre J. ,
  • 68', Parker S. , Jacomb J. ,
  • 69', Lord J. , Ah Kuoi N. ,
  • 71', Lam A. , Plummer H. ,
  • 71', Ratima C. , Roe X. ,
  • 76', McKenzie D. (Missed Penalty),
  • 80+2', Beehre J. (Try),
  • 80+3', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chiefs
70.2%
Draw
3.4%
Blues
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 4.3% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5% 4.2% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blues than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Chiefs - Blues Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.34)
    27.83
    (21.5)
    3.51
    (3.49)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 3.
    • Chiefs is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Blues has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chiefs is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Chiefs will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 424:477. (average 21.2:23.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 236:259. (average 21.5:23.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiefs - Blues were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Chiefs - Blues 32:31
    15.02.2025 Blues - Chiefs 14:25
    22.06.2024 Chiefs - Blues 10:41
    01.06.2024 Blues - Chiefs 31:17
    01.04.2023 Chiefs - Blues 20:13
    Latest results of Chiefs
    30.05.2025 Highlanders - Chiefs 24:41
    24.05.2025 Chiefs - Moana Pasifika 85:7
    10.05.2025 Crusaders - Chiefs 19:35
    03.05.2025 Hurricanes - Chiefs 35:17
    25.04.2025 Chiefs - Western Force 56:22
    Latest results of Blues
    31.05.2025 Blues - Waratahs 46:6
    17.05.2025 Moana Pasifika - Blues 27:21
    09.05.2025 Fijian Drua - Blues 5:34
    02.05.2025 Blues - Western Force 40:19
    25.04.2025 Reds - Blues 35:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12
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