Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires).

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.64
Ball possession
69%	31%
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
1	2
Passes
84% (426/507)	66% (145/220)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.97	1.40
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked shots
0	1
Shots inside the box
9	3
Shots outside the box
2	1
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
22	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
14	8
Passes
84% (426/507)	66% (145/220)
Long passes
65% (40/62)	33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)	56% (44/78)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	0.31
Throw ins
23	19
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
85% (11/13)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
50	46
Clearances
9	27
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.40	0.97
Goals prevented
0.40	-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cuello A. 🟨,
27', Cerutti E. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
45', Paredes L. 🟨,
45+3', Aranda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
63', Gulli F. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
63', Romana J. 🟨,
63', Ladstatter A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, De Ritis M. (A),
79', Hernandez G. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
80', Barrios N. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
81', Tripichio N. 🟨,
81', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
90+2', Bareiro A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Boca Juniors
55.1%

Draw
29.1%

San Lorenzo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

28.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

28%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	5.94 ↑ (5.4)	6.3% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
In this match, Boca Juniors is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against San Lorenzo?

Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Boca Juniors?

San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:

18.08.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 3:2

30.03.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 2:1

08.11.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:1

12.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:0

Latest results of Boca Juniors

04.03.2026 Lanús - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 1:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 2:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Platense 0:0 ✺

Latest results of San Lorenzo

28.02.2026 Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺

24.02.2026 San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba 1:1 ✺

22.02.2026 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P	16	9	4	3	19:7	12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	4	21
9	Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19
11	Gimnasia Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15
15	Dep. Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	10	29
3	Argentinos Jrs	16	8	5	3	17:13	4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	4	28
5	Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)