Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
54.4%
Draw
29%
San Lorenzo
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 28.5% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 28% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Boca Juniors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.19
    (3.25)
    5.52
    (5.4)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 3:2
    30.03.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 2:1
    08.11.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:1
    12.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)