One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.65
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
77% (356/460)69% (215/313)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.33
Total shots
822
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
77% (356/460)69% (215/313)
Long passes
41% (37/90)45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
54% (53/99)53% (50/95)
Crosses
22% (2/9)17% (6/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.42
Throw-ins
2029
Fouls
1212
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6459
Clearances
5920
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.330.99
Goals prevented
0.33-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Doyle M. , Ritchie S. (A),
  • 13', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 22', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
  • 45', Gomez O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Tekiela K. , Diene B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Calixtro G. , Rosamilia N. ,
  • 60', Kelly-Rosales A. , Johnson C. ,
  • 60', Doyle M. , Zarokostas S. ,
  • 60', Tekiela K. , Goling M. ,
  • 66', Ramos J. , Hernandez O. ,
  • 66', Bentley M. , Mercer G. ,
  • 72', Lelin Y. , Kinzner E. ,
  • 82', Gomez O. , Wessels W. ,
  • 82', Ualefi , Vazquez Z. ,
  • 83', Caputo A. , Bull ,
  • 90', Haugli S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hernandez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
53.1%
Draw
26.5%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.83)
    3.55
    (3.38)
    4.62
    (3.89)
    6.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. One Knoxville (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2.
    • One Knoxville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chattanooga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, One Knoxville is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville 1:0
    05.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville 1:0
    05.10.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville 1:1
    16.08.2024 One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:1
    20.07.2024 One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)