Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
31
Yellow cards
30
Total shots
86
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Ju Pacheco 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Pimenta ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ramos C. , Karen Bender ,
  • 46', Pimenta , Anny Maraba ,
  • 46', Soraya , Crivelari ,
  • 46', Preininger V. , Karla Alves ,
  • 46', Calazans L. , Bruna Calderan ,
  • 46', Thalita , Amalia ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Tayla ,
  • 62', Ju Pacheco , Laura Maria ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mylena Carioca ,
  • 73', Lari Danielle 🟨,
  • 77', Barraca 🟨,
  • 78', Kelen , Day ,
  • 85', Mylena Carioca , Serrana ,
  • 88', Gadu , Isa ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
17.3%
Draw
24.5%
São Paulo
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15% 20.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5% 19.9% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.27
    (6.08)
    3.72
    (4.43)
    1.56
    (1.42)
    9.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Atlético MG is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • São Paulo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo were as follows:
    05.05.2024 São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro 6:0
    14.04.2023 Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of São Paulo
    27.03.2026 São Paulo - Palmeiras 3:0
    23.03.2026 Fluminense - São Paulo 0:0
    14.03.2026 São Paulo - Ferroviária 0:1
    23.02.2026 São Paulo - Bahia 2:1
    16.02.2026 Internacional - São Paulo 1:2
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W971123:81522
    2Palmeiras W953118:81018
    3Sao Paulo W852112:5717
    4Internacional W952212:6617
    5Bahia W951315:12316
    6Flamengo W843115:10515
    7Ferroviaria W943213:9415
    8Fluminense W943211:8315
    9Bragantino W942317:15214
    10Cruzeiro W935114:10414
    11Santos W925210:11-111
    12Gremio W931510:11-110
    13Atletico-MG W92349:909
    14Mixto W91356:16-106
    15Juventude W91263:10-75
    16Botafogo RJ W81257:15-85
    17America Mineiro W90363:19-163
    18Vitoria W80265:21-162

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women