Santamarina de Tandil vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
50
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Igartua N. 🟨,
  • 18', Comachi L. 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Rojas D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santamarina de Tandil
54.3%
Draw
28.1%
Germinal
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.5% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.94)
    3.26
    (3.07)
    5.21
    (3.77)
    9%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 2.
    • Recent performances by Santamarina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Germinal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Santamarina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:0
    13.04.2025 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 1:1
    21.07.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 2:1
    26.05.2024 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 2:0
    30.03.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:1
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    Winners stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Bolivar ✔ 852111:5617
    2Argentino MM740312:9312
    3Olimpo Bahia Blanca73316:4212
    4Biblioteca Atenas71603:219
    5Costa Brava72327:709
    6Villa Mitre82333:5-29
    7Deportivo Rincon72234:6-28
    8Cipolletti71334:6-26
    9Kimberley ✔ 81255:11-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano ✔ 751114:7716
    2Atl. Rafaela ✔ 75119:5416
    3San Martin Formosa ✔ 842210:7314
    4Chivilcoy73228:6211
    5Sarmiento de La Banda73136:11-510
    6Juventud Antoniana82338:809
    79 de Julio Rafaela ✔ 71425:6-17
    8Independiente Chivilcoy ✔ 81348:11-36
    9Douglas Haig ✔ 70162:9-71

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ciudad Bolivar is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Kimberley is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sportivo Belgrano is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Atl. Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    San Martin Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    9 de Julio Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Independiente Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Douglas Haig is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)