Result
1:3
11/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 90% (483/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 90% (483/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/105) | 67% (51/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Colman I. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
- 38', Diez C. 🟨,
- 42', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Salazar A. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 65', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 2, Naya E. (Pen),
- 90', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 90', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 90', Silva N. ↓, Cardenas P. ↑,
- 90+1', Nunez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+3', Colitto L. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Tevez J. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
40.4% | Draw
29.4% | Cusco
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.02) |
3.2 ↓
(3.7) |
3.06 ↓
(3.3) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Garcilaso will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 9).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cusco?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cusco has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco were as follows:
29.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
0:2
17.02.2024
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
16.09.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cusco
2:1
23.04.2023
Cusco
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
