Result
0:0
20/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Paju Citizen 31.4% | Draw 32.6% | Changwon City 36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Citizen than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Paju Citizen - Changwon City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.8) |
2.85 ↓ (3.12) |
2.57 ↑ (2.36) |
7.7% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 2.
- Paju Citizen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Changwon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paju Citizen won against Changwon City?
Paju Citizen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changwon City won against Paju Citizen?
Changwon City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paju Citizen - Changwon City were as follows:
25.05.2025
Changwon City
-
Paju Citizen
0:1
13.07.2024
Paju Citizen
-
Changwon City
1:2
30.03.2024
Changwon City
-
Paju Citizen
1:2
19.08.2023
Paju Citizen
-
Changwon City
1:2
21.04.2023
Changwon City
-
Paju Citizen
0:0
Latest results of Paju Citizen
Latest results of Changwon City
South Korean K3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimhae | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Siheung Citizen | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 43:24 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Pocheon | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Gyeongju KHNP | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Yangpyeong | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Busan Kyotong | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 7 | Daejeon Korail | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42:30 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Changwon | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Yeoju Citizen | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 10 | Paju Citizen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25:30 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Chuncheon | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Gangneung | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | Jeonbuk 2 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
| 14 | Ulsan Citizen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17:36 | -19 | 17 |
| 15 | Mokpo | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17:49 | -32 | 13 |