Result
5:2
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/508) | 75% (175/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/508) | 75% (175/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (126/160) | 54% (30/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Mejia R. ⚽, Barrios M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Jordan J. ↓, Arango E. ↑,
- 46', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Hernandez V. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Molina J. (Own goal),
- 50', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 51', Ampudia J. 🟨,
- 52', Cortes K. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 1, Molina J. ⚽,
- 56', Cortes K. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 57', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 64', 4 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 65', Garcia M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 65', Barrios M. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 66', Camargo E. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 2, Molina J. ⚽,
- 72', Camargo E. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
- 76', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 76', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
- 76', Gomez P. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
- 77', 5 - 2, Zuleta M. ⚽, Quinones D. (A),
- 79', Molina J. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
- 87', Aedo A. 🟥,
- 88', Arango E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr6mzcxv
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
62% | Draw
25.7% | Boyacá Chicó
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boyacá Chicó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+5%)
Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.73) |
4.19 ↑
(3.3) |
9.27 ↑
(5.25) |
-4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Once Caldas is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Boyacá Chicó?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Once Caldas?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
12.04.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
0:0
15.07.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
0:1
20.01.2024
Once Caldas
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
08.10.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
2:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
