Result
3:0
27/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (379/438) | 76% (207/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (379/438) | 76% (207/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 42% (30/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (192/233) | 38% (21/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Castano J. 🟨,
- 10', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 35', Valencia N. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
- 44', Quiceno J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castano J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz D. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 46', Aedo A. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
- 46', Salazar S. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
- 64', Quinones J. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 64', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 64', Saldana A. 🟨,
- 70', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 71', Sanchez L. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 80', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 83', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Palma J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
62.9% | Draw
23.9% | Boyacá Chicó
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Caldas's form might have worsened.Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.35) |
3.83 ↓
(4.51) |
7.14 ↓
(9.44) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
- In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Once Caldas is the clear favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Boyacá Chicó?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Once Caldas?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
26.09.2025
Once Caldas
-
Boyacá Chicó
5:2
12.04.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
0:0
15.07.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
0:1
20.01.2024
Once Caldas
-
Boyacá Chicó
2:1
08.10.2023
Boyacá Chicó
-
Once Caldas
2:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
