Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (509/592) | 61% (134/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (509/592) | 61% (134/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/141) | 36% (28/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Shaylon 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Romulo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luiz Otavio ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 46', Shaylon ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 46', Everton Galdino ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 49', Renato Marques ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 62', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 62', Jordi 🟨,
- 64', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
- 77', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 82', Igor Formiga 🟨,
- 82', Helio Borges ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
- 90+3', Maykon Jesus ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 90+4', Robson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
50.3% | Draw
28.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.87) |
3.29 ↑
(3.18) |
4.34 ↑
(4.33) |
6.9%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Felipe Jonatan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Alesson
(Injury)
Reinaldo
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Mirassol?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
17.02.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Mirassol
2:1
19.10.2024
Mirassol
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
02.07.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Mirassol
1:1
28.01.2024
Mirassol
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
11.08.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Mirassol
2:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
