Result
3:2
20/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 4
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Denmark | Discovery+ |
Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.29 | 2.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (340/413) | 89% (488/550) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.29 | 2.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.59 | 1.53 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 23 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (340/413) | 89% (488/550) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (31/59) | 61% (31/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (83/119) | 81% (137/169) |
Crosses |
---|
53% (10/19) | 20% (7/35) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.47 | 1.57 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 43% (3/7) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 29 |
Clearances Total |
---|
37 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.53 | 2.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.47 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Timossi A. ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Larsson V. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Alladoh E. ⚽, Timossi A. (A),
- 66', 2 - 1, Junior Adjei F. ⚽,
- 75', Andersson H. 🟨,
- 78', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
- 78', Johansson C. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 78', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
- 80', Irandust D. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
- 81', Odefalk W. ↓, Barslund K. ↑,
- 82', Ackermann K. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Thern S. ⚽,
- 89', Zanden O. ↓, Kurochkin A. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Barslund K. ⚽, Timossi A. (A),
- 90+3', Timossi A. ↓, Cotton O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brommapojkarna 48% | Draw 26.9% | Värnamo 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brommapojkarna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Brommapojkarna - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.13) |
3.54 ↑ (3.37) |
3.77 ↑ (3.44) |
5% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brommapojkarna - Värnamo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brommapojkarna (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Brommapojkarna will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 2.
- Recent matches Brommapojkarna is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Värnamo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brommapojkarna will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Brommapojkarna: Orqvist R.
(Inactive)
Tahwildaran L.
(Knee Injury)
Vasic N.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Brommapojkarna won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brommapojkarna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brommapojkarna won against Värnamo?
Brommapojkarna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Brommapojkarna?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brommapojkarna - Värnamo were as follows:
03.11.2024
Brommapojkarna
-
Värnamo
0:1
12.05.2024
Värnamo
-
Brommapojkarna
1:1
05.08.2023
Brommapojkarna
-
Värnamo
0:2
04.05.2023
Värnamo
-
Brommapojkarna
0:1
Latest results of Brommapojkarna
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
4 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
5 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Norrkoping | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
14 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan